Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 7
Jul 23, 2024 at 10.45pm UK
Estadio Juan Carmelo Zerillo
San Lorenzo

Gimnasia
0 - 1
San Lorenzo


Castro (15'), Rodriguez (74'), Canto (81'), Insfran (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tarragona (16')
Braida (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Gimnasia and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gimnasia

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Gimnasia
Thursday, July 18 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Huracan
Saturday, July 20 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gimnasia win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gimnasia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.11%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
GimnasiaDrawSan Lorenzo
44.35% (0.041000000000004 0.04)29.3% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)26.34% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 41.24% (0.052 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.12% (0.067 0.07)64.88% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)83.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (0.054999999999993 0.05)29.28% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (0.067999999999998 0.07)65.25% (-0.071999999999989 -0.07)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.31% (0.024999999999999 0.02)41.68% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.84% (0.020999999999997 0.02)78.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Gimnasia 44.35%
    San Lorenzo 26.34%
    Draw 29.29%
GimnasiaDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 14.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.21% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-1 @ 8.06% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 44.35%
1-1 @ 13.11% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 12.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 3.53% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.29%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.67% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 26.34%

How you voted: Gimnasia vs San Lorenzo

Gimnasia
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
San Lorenzo
4.3%
23
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
San Lorenzo
4-0
Gimnasia
Vombergar (39'), Bareiro (58' pen., 78'), Hernandez (80')
Oct 12, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 25
Gimnasia
0-1
San Lorenzo
Bareiro (64')
Feb 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 2
Gimnasia
1-0
San Lorenzo
Tarragona (57')
Aleman (51'), Cecchini (55')

Gordillo (21'), (72'), Martegani (79'), Garcia (88')
Gordillo (41')
Nov 19, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
San Lorenzo
0-1
Gimnasia

Zapata (35'), Cerutti (56'), Di Santo (69')
Cerutti (60')
Ramirez (12')
Gerometta (49'), Ramirez (66'), Cecchini (86')
Jan 4, 2021 10.20pm
Fase Campeon
San Lorenzo
1-2
Gimnasia
Romero (78')
Hausch (74')
Rodriguez (90+4')
Ramirez (76'), Barrios (89')
Palazzo (34'), Ayala (45+1'), Contin (60'), Ramirez (90+4')