San Lorenzo
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 3, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain
Sarmiento

San Lorenzo
0 - 1
Sarmiento


Ferreira (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garcia (70')
Arismendi (27'), Gabriel Rosales (39'), Lopez (78'), Manuel Insaurralde (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between San Lorenzo and Sarmiento, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 San Lorenzo
Thursday, May 30 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 0-1 Independiente Rivadavia
Sunday, May 26 at 9.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 50.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 19.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.14%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
50.75% (0.29 0.29)29.36% (-0.225 -0.22)19.89% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 35.59% (0.376 0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
31.14% (0.517 0.52)68.86% (-0.51599999999999 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.5% (0.336 0.34)86.5% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.404 0.4)27.94% (-0.403 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.43% (0.51000000000001 0.51)63.57% (-0.508 -0.51)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.39% (0.245 0.25)50.61% (-0.244 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.92% (0.168 0.17)85.08% (-0.16800000000001 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 50.74%
    Sarmiento 19.89%
    Draw 29.35%
San LorenzoDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 18.03% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 11.49% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.071 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.072 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.033 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.06% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 50.74%
0-0 @ 14.14% (-0.27 -0.27)
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.67% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 29.35%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-2 @ 4.18% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 19.89%

How you voted: San Lorenzo vs Sarmiento

San Lorenzo
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Sarmiento
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 11
San Lorenzo
1-0
Sarmiento
Ferreira (6')
Bareiro (84'), Herazo (89'), Giay (90+2')

Paredes (32'), Manuel Insaurralde (74'), Calcaterra (81')
Oct 30, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 11
Sarmiento
0-0
San Lorenzo
Fontana (34'), Paredes (42'), Cruz Kaprof (85')
Perez (6'), Maroni (71'), Hernandez (81')
Feb 20, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 4
Sarmiento
0-1
San Lorenzo
Gattoni (58')
Oct 18, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 26
Sarmiento
2-4
San Lorenzo
Gondou (25'), Quinteros (82')
Braida (18', 61'), Vombergar (42'), Bareiro (45')
Apr 9, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 9
Sarmiento
2-1
San Lorenzo
Torres (28', 80' pen.)
Mancilla (45+1'), Toledo (61'), Andueza (90+2'), Vismara (90+8')
Ortigoza (90+9' pen.)
Centurion (33'), Gattoni (36'), Gordillo (76')
Gattoni (67')