San Lorenzo
Copa Diego Maradona | Second Phase
Nov 19, 2021 at 10.15pm UK
Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
0 - 1
Gimnasia


Zapata (35'), Cerutti (56'), Di Santo (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ramirez (12')
Gerometta (49'), Ramirez (66'), Cecchini (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Second Phase clash between San Lorenzo and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Gimnasia had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Gimnasia win was 0-1 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
San LorenzoDrawGimnasia
38.89%28.85%32.26%
Both teams to score 44.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.42%61.58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.57%81.42%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.24%30.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.98%67.01%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.88%35.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.13%71.86%
Score Analysis
    San Lorenzo 38.89%
    Gimnasia 32.26%
    Draw 28.83%
San LorenzoDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 12.73%
2-1 @ 7.86%
2-0 @ 7.51%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-0 @ 2.95%
3-2 @ 1.62%
4-1 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 38.89%
1-1 @ 13.32%
0-0 @ 10.79%
2-2 @ 4.11%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 28.83%
0-1 @ 11.3%
1-2 @ 6.97%
0-2 @ 5.91%
1-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 2.06%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 32.26%

rhs 2.0


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