Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio 15 de Abril
San Lorenzo

Union
2 - 1
San Lorenzo

Pardo (79'), Morales (83')
Vera (18'), Luna Diale (25'), Pitton (34'), Paz (43'), Morales (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cuello (36')
Tarragona (31'), Campi (45+4'), Braida (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Union and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 0-1 Union
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union win with a probability of 48.65%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 19.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 20.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (6.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (17.73%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union would win this match.

Result
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
48.65% (-0.174 -0.17)31.92% (0.293 0.29)19.43% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 30.49% (-0.607 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
25.06% (-0.672 -0.67)74.93% (0.66800000000001 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
9.77% (-0.392 -0.39)90.23% (0.38800000000001 0.39)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.76% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)32.24% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.27% (-0.535 -0.54)68.73% (0.53099999999999 0.53)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45% (-0.582 -0.58)55% (0.579 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.12% (-0.352 -0.35)87.88% (0.348 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Union 48.65%
    San Lorenzo 19.43%
    Draw 31.91%
UnionDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 20.07% (0.25 0.25)
2-0 @ 11.36%
2-1 @ 6.79% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 4.29% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.56% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 48.65%
0-0 @ 17.73% (0.44 0.44)
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 2.03% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 31.91%
0-1 @ 10.6% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 3.59% (-0.082 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.17% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 19.43%

How you voted: Union vs San Lorenzo

Union
59.5%
Draw
37.8%
San Lorenzo
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2024 9pm
Gameweek 3
San Lorenzo
0-0
Union
Irala (54')
Irala (88')
Paz (23'), Vera (51')
Sep 5, 2023 12am
Gameweek 3
Union
1-1
San Lorenzo
Morales (77')
Calderon (88')
Bareiro (25')
Elias (41'), Sanchez (45'), Bareiro (64')
Sanchez (80'), Bareiro (90')
Feb 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 5
San Lorenzo
1-0
Union
Vombergar (47')
Jul 20, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 9
San Lorenzo
2-2
Union
Bareiro (31'), Barrios (44')
Leguizamon (71'), Torrico (89')
Polenta (57'), Gonzalez (90+6')
Castrillon (65'), Polenta (90+5')
> Preview
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Union
1-2
San Lorenzo
Bucca (90+4')
Gattoni (8', 73')
Bareiro (12'), Perruzzi (88')