Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Jun 13, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin
Estudiantes

Sarmiento
2 - 0
Estudiantes

Gudino (58'), Garcia (67')
Arismendi (45+3'), Gudino (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Correa (45+4'), Palacios (64'), Mendez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Sarmiento
Monday, June 3 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Estudiantes

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Gremio 1-1 Estudiantes
Saturday, June 8 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 27.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.88%) and 1-2 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 1-0 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
SarmientoDrawEstudiantes
27.38% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)29.25% (-0.067 -0.07)43.36% (0.14599999999999 0.15)
Both teams to score 41.97% (0.129 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.72% (0.184 0.18)64.28% (-0.181 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.61% (0.129 0.13)83.38% (-0.126 -0.13)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.56% (0.039999999999999 0.04)40.43% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)77.05% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (0.172 0.17)29.53% (-0.169 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.45% (0.20800000000001 0.21)65.55% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 27.38%
    Estudiantes 43.36%
    Draw 29.24%
SarmientoDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 10.81% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 27.38%
1-1 @ 13.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 11.94% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.64% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.24%
0-1 @ 14.56% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.88% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.04% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.61% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.27% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 43.36%

How you voted: Sarmiento vs Estudiantes

Sarmiento
20.0%
Draw
40.0%
Estudiantes
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 10
Sarmiento
3-1
Estudiantes
Gho (22'), Molina (80'), Lopez (90+3')
Monaco (64')
Palacios (8')
Zuqui (78')
Palacios (44'), Dominguez (45'), Kociubinski (83')
Oct 23, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 10
Estudiantes
2-1
Sarmiento
Boselli (43' pen.), Romero (71')
Zuqui (23'), Benedetti (32')
Cruz Kaprof (52')
Marinelli (6'), Quiroz (30'), Devecchi (57'), Diaz (74'), Calcaterra (90+1')
Feb 25, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 5
Estudiantes
1-1
Sarmiento
Ascacibar (53')
Melano (84')
Jun 15, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Estudiantes
2-1
Sarmiento
Boselli (37'), Toledo (76' pen.)
Diaz (60'), Godoy (66'), Rodriguez (85')
Diaz (90+1')
Torres (57')
Torres (40'), Guanini (61'), Sauro (63'), Castro (72'), Toledo (76'), Brea (84')
Jul 17, 2021 1.15am
Second Phase
Sarmiento
0-3
Estudiantes
Apaolaza (52', 58'), Castro (54')
Apaolaza (25'), Noguera (90+3')