Brasileiro | Gameweek 3
Jul 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Heriberto Hulse
Fortaleza

Criciuma
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Trauco (22')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Martin Lucero (63')
Titi (6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Brasileiro clash between Criciuma and Fortaleza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Criciuma
Saturday, July 20 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 3-1 Atletico GO
Sunday, July 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Criciuma win with a probability of 38.13%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Criciuma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CriciumaDrawFortaleza
38.13% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)27.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.81% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.33% (0.011000000000003 0.01)54.67% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)76% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Criciuma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.0019999999999953 0)27.82% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.42% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.012 0.01)29.83% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.015999999999998 0.02)65.91% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Criciuma 38.13%
    Fortaleza 34.81%
    Draw 27.05%
CriciumaDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 38.13%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 6.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 3.13% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 34.81%

How you voted: Criciuma vs Fortaleza

Criciuma
18.6%
Draw
16.3%
Fortaleza
65.1%
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