Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 17.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result
Cruzeiro	Draw	Fortaleza
59.21% ( -0.52)	23.06% ( 0.01)	17.73% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

0.93)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.89% (

0.74)

51.11% (

-0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.04% (

0.64)

72.96% (

-0.64)

Cruzeiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

0.08)

16.94% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.99% (

0.14)

47.01% (

-0.14)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.41% (

1.07)

42.59% (

-1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.06% (

0.9)

78.94% (

-0.9)

Score Analysis

Cruzeiro 59.2%

Fortaleza 17.73%

Draw 23.06%

Cruzeiro	Draw	Fortaleza
1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.35) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 59.2%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.14) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.06%	0-1 @ 6.16% 1-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.77% Total : 17.73%