Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.45%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.49%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
Fortaleza	Draw	Rosario Central
63.02% ( 0.01)	22.89% ( -0.01)	14.09% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 40.78% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.75% (

0.05)

56.25% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.71% (

0.04)

77.29% (

-0.04)

Fortaleza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.56% (

0.02)

17.44% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.11% (

0.04)

47.89% (

-0.04)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.4% (

0.05)

50.6% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.93% (

0.03)

85.07% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Fortaleza 63.01%

Rosario Central 14.09%

Draw 22.88%

Fortaleza	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 15.41% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.84% 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 3.04% Total : 63.01%	1-1 @ 10.49% 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.45% Total : 22.88%	0-1 @ 6.01% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 14.09%