Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 11

Aug 17, 2024 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 0
Rosario

Lomonaco (17')
Martinez (34'), Tarzia (43'), Marcone (44'), Hidalgo (80'), Mancuello (90+8'), Mancuello (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martinez (24'), Ocampo (45'), Ortiz (45+5'), Barbieri (54')

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Rosario Central.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Estudiantes 0-2 Independiente
Monday, August 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Rosario Central

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Rosario 1-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, August 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.98%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 21.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.31%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Rosario Central
48.98% ( 0.16)	29.23% ( -0.14)	21.79% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 37.79% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.78% (

0.38)

67.22% (

-0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.59% (

0.25)

85.41% (

-0.25)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

0.27)

28.02% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.34% (

0.34)

63.66% (

-0.34)

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.49% (

0.21)

47.51% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.13% (

0.15)

82.87% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Independiente 48.97%

Rosario Central 21.79%

Draw 29.23%

Independiente	Draw	Rosario Central
1-0 @ 16.93% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.48% Total : 48.97%	0-0 @ 13.31% ( -0.18) 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 29.23%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.42% Total : 21.79%