Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 5

Jun 13, 2024 at 1.15am UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
2 - 1
Banfield

Lopez (3', 3'), Avalos (52' pen., 52' pen.)
Avalos (20'), Avalos (20'), Lautaro Millan (24'), Lautaro Millan (24'), Laso (45+2'), Laso (45+2'), Aguilar (47'), Aguilar (47'), Luna (48'), Luna (48')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Gimenez (28', 28')
Gimenez (7'), Gimenez (7'), Nunez (51'), Nunez (51'), Maciel (75'), Maciel (75'), Insua (86'), Insua (86')
Quiroz (89'), Quiroz (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Banfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Defensa 0-0 Independiente
Tuesday, June 4 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Banfield

All competitions

Last Game: Banfield 2-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, June 5 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Banfield
42.95% ( -0.01)	31.08% ( 0.01)	25.97% ( 0)

Both teams to score 37.02% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.08% (

-0.02)

69.92% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

12.82% (

-0.01)

87.18% (

0.01)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.33% (

-0.01)

32.67% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.78% (

-0.02)

69.22% (

0.02)

Banfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.99% (

-0.01)

45.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.06% (

-0.01)

80.94% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Independiente 42.95%

Banfield 25.97%

Draw 31.07%

Independiente	Draw	Banfield
1-0 @ 16.45% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 42.95%	0-0 @ 14.7% ( 0.01) 1-1 @ 13.13% 2-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.07%	0-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.4% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.66% Total : 25.97%