Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 42.95%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 25.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.7%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.