Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

May 27, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Libertadores de America

Independiente
1 - 1
Velez Sarsfield

Avalos (63', 63')
Laso (48'), Laso (48'), Canelo (67'), Romero (68'), Lopez (90+1'), Lopez (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Aquino (32' pen., 32' pen.)
Fernandez (55'), Fernandez (55'), Ordonez (62'), Ordonez (62'), Canelo (67'), Romero (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Velez Sarsfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Platense 0-0 Independiente
Sunday, May 19 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Newell's OB
Wednesday, May 22 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 40.52%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 29.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.37%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
40.52% ( -0.46)	30.37% ( -0.05)	29.11% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 40.09% (

0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33% (

0.3)

66.99% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.74% (

0.21)

85.26% (

-0.2)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.44% (

-0.12)

32.56% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.9% (

-0.14)

69.09% (

0.14)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.45% (

0.61)

40.55% (

-0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.85% (

0.55)

77.15% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Independiente 40.52%

Velez Sarsfield 29.11%

Draw 30.36%

Independiente	Draw	Velez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.81% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 13.2% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.36%	0-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 29.11%