Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 2

May 22, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Jose Amalfitani

Velez Sarsfield
1 - 0
Newell's OB

Romero (20', 20')
Fernandez (13'), Fernandez (13'), Gomez (28'), Gomez (29'), Bouzat (36'), Bouzat (36'), Romero (45+4'), Romero (45+4'), Garcia (56'), Garcia (57')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Martino (52'), Martino (52'), Cacciabue (68'), Cacciabue (68'), Fernandez (81'), Fernandez (81'), Calderara (85'), Calderara (85'), Fernandez (90+5'), Fernandez (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Velez Sarsfield and Newell's Old Boys, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Velez Sarsfield

All competitions

Last Game: Gimnasia 3-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 13 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newell's Old Boys

All competitions

Last Game: Newell's OB 2-0 Platense
Saturday, May 11 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 27.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.91%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.22%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Velez Sarsfield in this match.

Result
Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
42.96% ( 0.98)	29.8% ( 0.09)	27.24% ( -1.07)

Both teams to score 40.58% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.04% (

-0.66)

65.96% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.44% (

-0.46)

84.56% (

0.45)

Velez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.4% (

0.22)

30.6% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.17% (

0.26)

66.83% (

-0.26)

Newell's Old Boys Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.47% (

-1.29)

41.53% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.98% (

-1.15)

78.02% (

1.15)

Score Analysis

Velez Sarsfield 42.96%

Newell's Old Boys 27.23%

Draw 29.79%

Velez Sarsfield	Draw	Newell's Old Boys
1-0 @ 15.04% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.25% Total : 42.96%	1-1 @ 13.22% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.43% Total : 29.79%	0-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.21% Total : 27.23%