Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 49.25%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Platense had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.47%), while for a Platense win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newell's Old Boys would win this match.