Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 38.88%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Newell's Old Boys had a probability of 30.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 2-1 (7.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.62%), while for a Newell's Old Boys win it was 0-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Banfield would win this match.