Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 4, 2024 at 1.15am UK

Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello

Defensa
0 - 0
Independiente

Gutierrez (57'), Gutierrez (57'), Molinas (64'), Molinas (64'), Caceres (81'), Caceres (81'), Aguilera (86'), Neves (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Manuel Fedorco (28')
Tarzia (15'), Tarzia (15'), Avalos (40'), Avalos (40'), Fedorco (52'), Fedorco (52'), Perez (54'), Perez (54'), Neves (90+2'), Neves (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Defensa y Justicia and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Defensa y Justicia

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Defensa 0-1 Cesar Vallejo
Thursday, May 30 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Independiente

All competitions

Last Game: Independiente 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Monday, May 27 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensa y Justicia win with a probability of 34.99%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Defensa y Justicia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.05%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.

Result
Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Independiente
34.99% ( 0.07)	30.08% ( 0.09)	34.93% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 41.93% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.65% (

-0.29)

65.34% (

0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.86% (

-0.2)

84.13% (

0.2)

Defensa y Justicia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.78% (

-0.11)

35.22% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.02% (

-0.11)

71.97% (

0.1)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.73% (

-0.27)

35.26% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.98% (

-0.28)

72.02% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Defensa y Justicia 34.99%

Independiente 34.92%

Draw 30.06%

Defensa y Justicia	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 34.99%	1-1 @ 13.5% 0-0 @ 12.41% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.48% Total : 30.06%	0-1 @ 12.94% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.13% Total : 34.92%