Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 3, 2024 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Libertadores de America
San Lorenzo

Independiente
0 - 0
San Lorenzo


Marcone (23'), Perez (43'), Gonzalez (53'), Martinez (66')
FT

Cuello (48'), Remedi (67'), Campi (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente Rivadavia 1-0 Independiente
Saturday, July 27 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

San Lorenzo

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: San Lorenzo 1-1 Newell's OB
Saturday, July 27 at 9pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 44.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.7% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 24.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (7.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.96%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood.

Result
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
44.24% (-1.27 -1.27)31.68% (0.095000000000002 0.1)24.07% (1.176 1.18)
Both teams to score 34.65% (0.63800000000001 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
27.87% (0.3 0.3)72.13% (-0.30000000000001 -0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
11.43% (0.183 0.18)88.56% (-0.182 -0.18)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.87% (-0.559 -0.56)33.13% (0.559 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.27% (-0.623 -0.62)69.73% (0.622 0.62)
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.81% (1.376 1.38)48.18% (-1.377 -1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.63% (0.986 0.99)83.37% (-0.986 -0.99)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 44.24%
    San Lorenzo 24.07%
    Draw 31.67%
IndependienteDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 17.63% (-0.47 -0.47)
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.409 -0.41)
2-1 @ 7.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.59% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-0 @ 0.99% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-2 @ 0.96% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 44.24%
0-0 @ 15.96% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.16 0.16)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 31.67%
0-1 @ 11.65% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 4.7% (0.24 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.26% (0.278 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.105 0.11)
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 24.07%

How you voted: Independiente vs San Lorenzo

Independiente
56.3%
Draw
12.5%
San Lorenzo
31.3%
16
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 9
San Lorenzo
0-0
Independiente
Jun 4, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 1
San Lorenzo
1-1
Independiente
Bareiro (58')
Gattoni (87')
Rosane (85')
Benegas (45+2')
Poblete (35'), Rodriguez (35')
Dec 5, 2021 10.15pm
Second Phase
Independiente
1-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (47')
Sonora (41'), Sosa (58')
Ortigoza (72' pen.)
Zapata (31'), Flores (37'), Peruzzi (65'), Gordillo (87')
Flores (76')
Nov 3, 2019 11pm
Gameweek 12
Independiente
2-1
San Lorenzo
Romero (43', 62' pen.)
Roa (31'), Perez (52'), Campana (66'), Figal (67'), Domingo (77')
Palacios (94')
Romero (51')
Herrera (25'), Romero (52'), Arias (54'), Vergini (77')
Coloccini (94')
Feb 2, 2019 8.10pm
Gameweek 17
San Lorenzo
0-0
Independiente
Herrera (44'), Senesi (50'), Loaiza (64')
Silva (17'), Britez (38'), Silva (98')
Britez (46')