Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 6
Jul 19, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Juan Domingo Peron
Independiente

Instituto
3 - 1
Independiente

Russo (3', 3', 10', 10'), Rodriguez (22', 22')
Roffo (84'), Roffo (84')
FT(HT: 6-2)
Luna (15', 15')
Perez (12'), Perez (12'), Fedorco (54'), Fedorco (54'), Gonzalez (90+1'), Gonzalez (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Instituto and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Instituto

All competitions
Last Game: Newell's OB 0-2 Instituto
Friday, June 14 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Independiente

All competitions
Last Game: Independiente 2-1 Banfield
Thursday, June 13 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 45.43%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 23.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (7.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.24%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
InstitutoDrawIndependiente
23.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)31.05% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)45.43% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Both teams to score 35.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
29.1% (0.026 0.03)70.9% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.2% (0.016 0.02)87.8% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Instituto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.02% (0.036000000000001 0.04)47.97% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.79% (0.026 0.03)83.21% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.21% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)31.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.78% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Instituto 23.51%
    Independiente 45.42%
    Draw 31.04%
InstitutoDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 11.2%
2-1 @ 4.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.11% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 23.51%
0-0 @ 15.24% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-1 @ 12.83%
2-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 31.04%
0-1 @ 17.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.81% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
2-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 45.42%

How you voted: Instituto vs Independiente

Instituto
34.8%
Draw
47.8%
Independiente
17.4%
23
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 6
Instituto
0-2
Independiente

Bochi (39'), Russo (52'), Franco (63'), Moreyra (68'), Cerato (75')
Neves (26'), Gonzalez (32')
Fedorco (17'), Isla (37'), Laso (64'), Canelo (85')
Sep 24, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 6
Independiente
0-0
Instituto
Canelo (25'), Rey (90+5'), Perez (90+8')
Corda (45+4'), Lodico (45+6'), Alarcon (54'), Franco (60')
Mar 5, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Independiente
2-2
Instituto
Cauteruccio (15' pen., 32')
Martinez (38'), Linares (66')