Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
1 - 0
Flamengo

(Flamengo win 2-1 on aggregate)

Savio (57', 57')
Anderson (47'), Anderson (47'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de la Cruz (28'), de la Cruz (28'), Gerson (61'), Gerson (61'), Savio (90'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+5'), Gustavo Fernandes Araujo (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa Libertadores clash between Bolivar and Flamengo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolivar

Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Bolivar
Friday, August 16 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores

Flamengo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Botafogo 4-1 Flamengo
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Flamengo had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.89%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Flamengo win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bolivar in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bolivar.

Result
Bolivar	Draw	Flamengo
40.72% ( -0.46)	24.33% ( 0.14)	34.95% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 59.95% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.28% (

-0.59)

42.72% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.88% (

-0.59)

65.12% (

0.59)

Bolivar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92% (

-0.46)

21.08% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.09% (

-0.73)

53.9% (

0.73)

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

-0.1)

24.03% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.7% (

-0.14)

58.3% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Bolivar 40.72%

Flamengo 34.95%

Draw 24.32%

Bolivar	Draw	Flamengo
2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.72%	1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.32%	1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.95%