Fortaleza
Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 18, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Corinthians

Fortaleza
0 - 2
Corinthians

FT(HT: 0-2)
Coronado (39', 39'), Alberto (90', 90')
Alberto (90'), Garro (90+4'), Alberto (90'), Garro (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Fortaleza and Corinthians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Corinthians

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 51.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
51.84% (-2.421 -2.42)25.96% (0.797 0.8)22.2% (1.627 1.63)
Both teams to score 46.08% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.24% (-1.258 -1.26)56.75% (1.259 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.3% (-1.019 -1.02)77.7% (1.02 1.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (-1.518 -1.52)21.97% (1.52 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.73% (-2.357 -2.36)55.27% (2.357 2.36)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.05% (0.963 0.96)40.95% (-0.963 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.49% (0.849 0.85)77.51% (-0.848 -0.85)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 51.83%
    Corinthians 22.2%
    Draw 25.96%
FortalezaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.164 -0.16)
3-0 @ 5.22% (-0.493 -0.49)
3-1 @ 4.66% (-0.307 -0.31)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.289 -0.29)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.206 -0.21)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 51.83%
1-1 @ 12.17% (0.34 0.34)
0-0 @ 9% (0.426 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.579 0.58)
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.291 0.29)
0-2 @ 3.59% (0.345 0.35)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.23% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.07% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.2%

How you voted: Fortaleza vs Corinthians

Fortaleza
68.0%
Draw
28.0%
Corinthians
4.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 24
Fortaleza
1-0
Corinthians
Pikachu (77')
Hercules (35'), Cardona (55'), Kayzer (82')

Henrique (42'), Charles (70'), Ramalho (73')
May 5, 2024 1am
Gameweek 5
Corinthians
0-0
Fortaleza
Raniele (45')
Lopes (23'), Tinga (41'), Britez (64'), Pikachu (71'), Augusto (72'), Pacheco (83'), Marinho (90+5')
Oct 4, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Fortaleza
2-0
Corinthians
Pikachu (49'), Tinga (55')
Pochettino (28'), Welison (62')
> Preview
Sep 27, 2023 1.30am
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Corinthians
1-1
Fortaleza
Alberto (40')
Verissimo (38'), Moscardo (63'), Augusto (90+5')
Welison (22')
Britez (57'), Guilherme (67'), Pacheco (88')
> Preview
Sep 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 23
Fortaleza
2-1
Corinthians
Martin Lucero (26'), Pikachu (90+4')
Marinho (29')
Pedrinho (33')
Gil (87'), Mendez (90+3')