Athletico Paranaense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 14, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
Fortaleza

Athletico PR
1 - 1
Fortaleza

Canobbio (29')
Victor Machado Cruz (61'), Canobbio (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moises (14')
Kuscevic (39'), Ricardo (84')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Fortaleza.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Internacional 2-1 Fortaleza
Wednesday, September 11 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 56%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Fortaleza had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Fortaleza win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
56% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)23.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)20.3% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 50% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.75% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.25% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.2% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)17.78% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)48.48% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)39.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.010000000000002 0.01)75.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 55.99%
    Fortaleza 20.3%
    Draw 23.7%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawFortaleza
1-0 @ 12.03%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 5.98% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.99%
1-1 @ 11.27%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 23.7%
0-1 @ 6.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.3%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 7
Fortaleza
1-0
Athletico PR
Kuscevic (45')
Augusto (42'), Martinez (43'), Pikachu (90+7')

Felipe (19'), Madson (47'), Christian (49'), Vitor (69')
Nov 8, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 33
Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Willian (57')
Erick (90+2')
Guilherme (54')
Jul 9, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 14
Fortaleza
1-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (84')
Britez (37'), Marinho (56'), Galhardo (90+5')

Kaue (50'), Cirino (61'), Moura (90+5')
Oct 5, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 30
Athletico PR
1-1
Fortaleza
Pablo (90+2')
Galhardo (15')
Jun 12, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 11
Fortaleza
0-0
Athletico PR
Pikachu (72')
Fernandes (50'), Cirino (82'), Erick (86')
rhs 2.0


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