Brasileiro | Gameweek 24

Aug 27, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Club de Regatas Vasco da Gama

Vasco
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Rodriguez (68', 68'), Vegetti (86', 86')
Carvalho (48'), Carvalho (48')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Gabriel (24', 24')
Heleno (15'), Heleno (15'), Victor Machado Cruz (28'), Victor Machado Cruz (28'), Varini Di Zioli (90+5'), Varini Di Zioli (90+5')
Fernando (90+7')

Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Criciuma 2-2 Vasco
Sunday, August 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Belgrano 0-2 Athletico PR
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 37.56%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
37.56% ( 0.01)	27.52% ( 0.04)	34.93% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 49.23% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.54% (

-0.14)

56.45% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54% (

-0.12)

77.46% (

0.11)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.98% (

-0.06)

29.02% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.07% (

-0.08)

64.92% (

0.08)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.35% (

-0.1)

30.65% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.11% (

-0.12)

66.89% (

0.12)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 37.55%

Athletico Paranaense 34.92%

Draw 27.51%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.81% 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 37.55%	1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.51%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.22% 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 34.92%