Copa Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Thiago Heleno 27' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 30' yellowcard
  • Erick 41' goal
  • Christian 63' goal
  • Matias Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz Real 0'
  • goal Franco Jara 1'
  • yellowcard Juan Barinaga 30'
  • yellowcard Facundo Quignon 36'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Chicco 61'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 86'

Athletico Paranaense vs Belgrano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Belgrano

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Athletico Paranaense 62.29% (+0.05)
Draw 22.65% (-0.01)
Belgrano 15.07% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.57% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.27% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 53.73% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 24.79% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 75.21% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 11.23% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.77% (+0.02)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 83.2% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 16.79% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 53.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 46.76% (-0.01)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 52.36% (-0.08)
Under 0.5 47.64% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 17.03% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 82.97% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Athletico Paranaense 62.28%
Draw 22.64%
Belgrano 15.07%
Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 14.27% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 12.73% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.38% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 62.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 3.5% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.64%
Belgrano
0-1 @ 5.93% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 3.92% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 15.07%