Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 15.07%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.