Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 62.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.73%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (5.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Belgrano
62.29% ( 0.05)	22.65% ( -0.01)	15.07% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 43.57% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.27% (

-0.03)

53.73% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.79% (

-0.03)

75.21% (

0.03)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.2% (

16.79% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.24% (

0.01)

46.76% (

-0.01)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.36% (

-0.07)

47.64% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.03% (

-0.05)

82.97% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Athletico Paranaense 62.28%

Belgrano 15.07%

Draw 22.64%

Athletico Paranaense	Draw	Belgrano
1-0 @ 14.27% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 12.73% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.51% 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 62.28%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 5.93% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 15.07%