Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 53.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
Lanus	Draw	Belgrano
53.97% ( -0.32)	25.61% ( 0.04)	20.43% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 44.84% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.8% (

0.15)

57.21% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.94% (

0.12)

78.06% (

-0.12)

Lanus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.74% (

-0.07)

21.26% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.82% (

-0.11)

54.18% (

0.11)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.94% (

0.39)

43.06% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66% (

0.33)

79.34% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Lanus 53.96%

Belgrano 20.43%

Draw 25.6%

Lanus	Draw	Belgrano
1-0 @ 14.17% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.09% Total : 53.96%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.15% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.61% Total : 25.6%	0-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.43%