Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.