Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 29, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Presidente Juan Domingo Peron

Racing
3 - 0
Sportivo

Martinez (10', 10'), Salas (35', 35'), Martinez (80' pen., 80' pen.)
Rojas (18'), Rojas (18'), Ignacio Nardoni (38'), Ignacio Nardoni (38'), Di Cesare (49'), Di Cesare (49')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Mendoza (45'), Mendoza (45'), Benitez (46'), Benitez (46'), Vera (65'), Vera (65')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing Club and Sportivo Luqueno.

Form, Standings, Stats

Racing Club

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Tigre 0-4 Racing
Friday, May 24 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Sportivo Luqueno

All competitions

Last Game: Sportivo 2-3 Bragantino
Friday, May 17 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 70.76%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Sportivo Luqueno had a probability of 11.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.66%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.61%), while for a Sportivo Luqueno win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Racing Club	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno
70.76% ( -2.25)	18.11% ( 1.26)	11.12% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 46.4% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

-2.93)

43.77% (

2.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.84% (

-2.93)

66.16% (

2.93)

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.89% (

-1.35)

11.11% (

1.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.48% (

-3.05)

35.52% (

3.05)

Sportivo Luqueno Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.2% (

-0.04)

47.79% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.92% (

-0.03)

83.08% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Racing Club 70.75%

Sportivo Luqueno 11.12%

Draw 18.11%

Racing Club	Draw	Sportivo Luqueno
2-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 11.66% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.3) 4-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.54) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.4) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.38) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.29) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.62% Total : 70.75%	1-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.6) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.7% Total : 18.11%	0-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 3.18% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.17) Other @ 2.57% Total : 11.12%