Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4

Jun 2, 2024 at 12.15am UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
1 - 0
Argentinos Jrs

Heredia (67', 67')
Baldi (11'), Baldi (11'), Cruz Real (13'), Cruz Real (13'), Chavarria (16'), Chavarria (16'), Losada (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Godoy (7'), Godoy (7'), Gamarra (74'), Gamarra (74'), Vega (79'), Vega (79'), Heredia (87'), Heredia (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Argentinos Juniors, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Internacional 1-2 Belgrano
Wednesday, May 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, May 28 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 0-1 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
40.51% ( 0.01)	28.28% ( -0)	31.22% ( 0)

Both teams to score 46.21% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.15% (

0.02)

59.86% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.87% (

0.01)

80.13% (

-0.01)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

0.01)

28.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

0.01)

64.85% (

-0.01)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.01)

34.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.01)

71.69% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 40.5%

Argentinos Juniors 31.22%

Draw 28.27%

Belgrano	Draw	Argentinos Juniors
1-0 @ 12.54% 2-1 @ 8.17% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.12% 2-2 @ 4.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.27%	0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 6.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 31.22%