Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
May 25, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
1 - 0
River Plate

Lescano (40')
Vega (20'), Galvan (73'), Heredia (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Aliendro (35'), Borja (45'), Villagra (51'), Solari (75'), Echeverri (85'), Diaz (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Argentinos Juniors and River Plate, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 3-0 Argentinos Jrs
Tuesday, May 21 at 1.15am in Argentine Primera Division

River Plate

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Argentinos Juniors had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Argentinos Juniors win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.

Result
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
33.32% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)25.71% (-0.035 -0.04)40.97% (0.052 0.05)
Both teams to score 54.69% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.64% (0.149 0.15)49.36% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.59% (0.134 0.13)71.41% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Argentinos Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.83% (0.061999999999998 0.06)28.17% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.14% (0.076999999999998 0.08)63.86% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.14% (0.093000000000004 0.09)23.86% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.95% (0.133 0.13)58.04% (-0.13 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Argentinos Juniors 33.32%
    River Plate 40.97%
    Draw 25.71%
Argentinos JuniorsDrawRiver Plate
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.73% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 5.39% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.26% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 33.32%
1-1 @ 12.2% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.54% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.63% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.18% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.97%

Head to Head
Jan 28, 2024 10pm
Gameweek 1
River Plate
1-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (45+1')
Herrera (78'), Diaz (85'), Fonseca (90+5')
Gabriel Montiel (84')
Rodriguez (81'), Gabriel Montiel (85'), Moyano (90+3')
Aug 21, 2023 1am
Gameweek 1
Argentinos Jrs
3-2
River Plate
Di Cesare (11'), Gondou (44', 57')
Villalba (40'), Redondo (74')
Palavecino (27'), Barco (41')
Diaz (34'), Kranevitter (43'), Aliendro (45+1'), Perez (82')
Feb 12, 2023 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
2-1
Argentinos Jrs
Borja (50' pen.), Barco (71' pen.)
Mac Allister (43')
Oct 3, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 22
Argentinos Jrs
0-3
River Plate
Apr 10, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 9
River Plate
4-2
Argentinos Jrs
Suarez (6'), Fernandez (9'), Quintero (67' pen.), Herrera (89')
Avalos (39'), Villalba (50')
Florentin (12'), Villalba (24'), Torren (26'), Galarza (90+2')
Torren (65')