Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 11.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.