Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage

May 28, 2024 at 11pm UK

Estadio Diego Armando Maradona

Argentinos Jrs
2 - 1
Nacional

Heredia (7'), Batallini (18' pen.)
Jose Cardozo (45+3'), Agustin Coronel Alarcon (48'), Nicolas Gomez (75')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Arevalo (39')
Orzusa (14'), Silva (16'), Blasi (45+2'), Alberto Gomez Benitez (76')

Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Argentinos Juniors and Club Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Argentinos Juniors

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 1-0 River Plate
Saturday, May 25 at 7pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Club Nacional

All competitions

Copa Sudamericana

Last Game: Racing 2-1 Nacional
Tuesday, May 14 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentinos Juniors win with a probability of 70.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Club Nacional had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentinos Juniors win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Club Nacional win it was 0-1 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentinos Juniors would win this match.

Result
Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Club Nacional
70.59% ( -0)	18.06% ( 0.01)	11.35% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 47.4% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.12% (

-0.04)

42.88% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.71% (

-0.04)

65.28% (

0.04)

Argentinos Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.09% (

-0.01)

10.91% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.92% (

-0.03)

35.08% (

0.03)

Club Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.2% (

-0.03)

46.8% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.67% (

-0.03)

82.33% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Argentinos Juniors 70.58%

Club Nacional 11.35%

Draw 18.06%

Argentinos Juniors	Draw	Club Nacional
2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 3-0 @ 9.25% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.13% 4-1 @ 3.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.27% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 3.79% Total : 70.58%	1-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 18.06%	0-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.47% 2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.35%