Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 14, 2024 at 11pm UK
Complejo Daniel Marsicano
Racing2 - 1Nacional
Nandin (54'), Bueno (64')
Varela (44'), Gorocito (63')
Varela (44'), Gorocito (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bailone (53' pen.)
Gaona Lugo (90+4'), Santacruz (90+5')
Gaona Lugo (90+4'), Santacruz (90+5')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Racing de Montevideo and Club Nacional.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Maldonado
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 11 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Nacional 0-2 Corinthians
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Tuesday, May 7 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for Club Nacional had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Club Nacional win was 0-1 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Club Nacional |
42.25% ( -0.01) | 27.65% | 30.1% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.55% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
