Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3

May 25, 2024 at 1.15am UK

Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra

Belgrano
2 - 1
C. Cordoba

Reyna (58', 58', 68', 68')
Reyna (16'), Reyna (16'), Rebola (45+2'), Rebola (45+2'), Moreno (64'), Moreno (64'), Delgado (90+6'), Delgado (90+6'), Quignon (90+6'), Delgado (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Molina (45+4' pen., 45+4' pen.)
Miloc (52'), Miloc (52'), Monzon (74'), Monzon (74'), Laquidain (81'), Laquidain (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Central Cordoba, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions

Argentine Primera Division

Last Game: River Plate 3-0 Belgrano
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Central Cordoba

All competitions

Last Game: C. Cordoba 2-4 Boca Juniors
Monday, May 20 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 59.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Central Cordoba had a probability of 15.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.89%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Central Cordoba win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgrano would win this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Central Cordoba
59.47% ( 0.46)	24.59% ( -0.18)	15.94% ( -0.28)

Both teams to score 40.32% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.84% (

0.21)

59.16% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.41% (

0.17)

79.59% (

-0.17)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.16% (

0.26)

19.84% (

-0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.07% (

0.42)

51.93% (

-0.42)

Central Cordoba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.3% (

-0.24)

49.7% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.55% (

-0.17)

84.45% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 59.46%

Central Cordoba 15.94%

Draw 24.59%

Belgrano	Draw	Central Cordoba
1-0 @ 15.94% 2-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 59.46%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.43% Total : 24.59%	0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.94%