Sarmiento
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 9
Aug 4, 2024 at 7pm UK
Estadio Eva Peron de Junin

Sarmiento
0 - 0
Belgrano

FT

Rolon (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Sarmiento and Belgrano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: River Plate 1-0 Sarmiento
Sunday, July 28 at 10.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Belgrano

All competitions
Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-0 Godoy Cruz
Tuesday, July 30 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sarmiento win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sarmiento win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.18%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 0-1 (12.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
SarmientoDrawBelgrano
36.3% (-0.662 -0.66)30.18% (0.134 0.13)33.52% (0.526 0.53)
Both teams to score 41.61% (-0.28 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.29% (-0.365 -0.37)65.71% (0.364 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.62% (-0.253 -0.25)84.38% (0.252 0.25)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (-0.627 -0.63)34.54% (0.625 0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (-0.672 -0.67)71.26% (0.67099999999999 0.67)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.55% (0.177 0.18)36.45% (-0.179 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (0.18 0.18)73.23% (-0.182 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Sarmiento 36.29%
    Belgrano 33.52%
    Draw 30.17%
SarmientoDrawBelgrano
1-0 @ 13.38% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.18% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-0 @ 7.11% (-0.149 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.54% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.52% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.29%
1-1 @ 13.5% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 12.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 30.17%
0-1 @ 12.7% (0.23 0.23)
1-2 @ 6.82% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.41% (0.147 0.15)
1-3 @ 2.29% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.22% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 33.52%

How you voted: Sarmiento vs Belgrano

Sarmiento
35.7%
Draw
21.4%
Belgrano
42.9%
14
Head to Head
Feb 20, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 6
Belgrano
4-1
Sarmiento
Sanchez (29'), Barinaga (31'), Reyna (40'), Lencioni (71')
Meriano (14'), Rolon (38'), Maffini (78')
Quiroga (25')
Monaco (26'), Mauri (38'), Calcaterra (86')
Sep 25, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 6
Sarmiento
0-0
Belgrano
Cerato (90')
Marin (35'), Diarte (90+2')
Apr 4, 2023 12am
Gameweek 9
Belgrano
0-0
Sarmiento