Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Godoy Cruz had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 30.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.78%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Godoy Cruz win was 0-1 (12.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Belgrano in this match.

Result
Belgrano	Draw	Godoy Cruz
38.37% ( 0.47)	30.79% ( -0.2)	30.85% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 39.66% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.21% (

0.51)

67.8% (

-0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.2% (

0.34)

85.8% (

-0.34)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.68% (

0.58)

34.32% (

-0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.98% (

0.62)

71.03% (

-0.62)

Godoy Cruz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.38% (

0.09)

39.62% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.7% (

0.08)

76.3% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Belgrano 38.37%

Godoy Cruz 30.85%

Draw 30.77%

Belgrano	Draw	Godoy Cruz
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.37%	0-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.26) 1-1 @ 13.46% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.39% Total : 30.77%	0-1 @ 12.59% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.45% Total : 30.85%