Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 78.38%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 6.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.44%) and 3-0 (12.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.96%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.

Result
River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
78.38% ( 0.14)	15.11% ( -0.09)	6.5% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 36.49% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

0.15)

45.61% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

0.15)

67.94% (

-0.15)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.35% (

0.07)

9.64% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.8% (

0.17)

32.19% (

-0.18)

Sarmiento Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

40.38% (

-0.07)

59.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

9.55% (

-0.03)

90.45% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

River Plate 78.36%

Sarmiento 6.51%

Draw 15.11%

River Plate	Draw	Sarmiento
2-0 @ 15.72% 1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 78.36%	1-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.11%	0-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.73% Total : 6.51%