Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vasco da Gama.