Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Atletico Goianiense had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Atletico Goianiense win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vasco da Gama in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vasco da Gama.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
45.7% ( 0.71)	24.84% ( -0.41)	29.46% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 55.89% (

1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.97% (

1.64)

47.03% (

-1.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.72% (

1.51)

69.27% (

-1.51)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.36% (

0.99)

20.64% (

-0.99)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.8% (

1.54)

53.2% (

-1.54)

Atletico Goianiense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.42% (

0.63)

29.58% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.39% (

0.76)

65.6% (

-0.76)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 45.7%

Atletico Goianiense 29.46%

Draw 24.84%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Atletico Goianiense
1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.71% Total : 45.7%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( -0.43) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.84%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.46%