Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
Athletico Paranaense

Belgrano
0 - 2
Athletico PR


Rolon (6'), Cruz Real (60'), Jara (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mastriani (54'), Di Yorio (89')
Erick (20'), Varini Di Zioli (45+4'), Fernandinho (49'), Christian (64')
Esquivel (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Belgrano and Athletico Paranaense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Huracan 1-0 Belgrano
Monday, August 19 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-2 Juventude
Sunday, August 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result
BelgranoDrawAthletico Paranaense
34.76% (0.012999999999998 0.01)28.64% (0.0040000000000013 0)36.6% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.88% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)60.59% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)80.68% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Belgrano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)32.86% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.57% (0.0019999999999989 0)69.43% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.33% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)31.66% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.92% (-0.023 -0.02)68.08% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belgrano 34.76%
    Athletico Paranaense 36.59%
    Draw 28.63%
BelgranoDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.44% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.39% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.76%
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.59%

How you voted: Belgrano vs Athletico PR

Belgrano
31.8%
Draw
27.3%
Athletico Paranaense
40.9%
22
Head to Head
Aug 15, 2024 11pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Athletico PR
2-1
Belgrano
Erick (41'), Christian (63')
Heleno (27'), Canobbio (30'), Moreno (86')
Jara (1')
Cruz Real (0'), Barinaga (30'), Quignon (36'), Chicco (61'), Fernandinho (86')
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