Copa Sudamericana
Aug 22, 2024 11.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes
  • Esteban Rolon 6' yellowcard
  • Juan Cruz Real 60' yellowcard
  • Franco Jara 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Erick 20'
  • redcard Lucas Esquivel 21'
  • yellowcard Martin Varini Di Zioli 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 49'
  • goal Gonzalo Mastriani 54'
  • yellowcard Christian 64'
  • goal Lucas Di Yorio 89'

Belgrano vs Athletico Paranaense - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Belgrano

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 15, 2024 11.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Belgrano

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions
Copa Sudamericana
Last game
Aug 15, 2024 11.00pm
Athletico PR 2 - 1 Belgrano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.

Result

Belgrano 34.76% (+0.02)
Draw 28.64% (+0.01)
Athletico Paranaense 36.6% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.88% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 39.41% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 60.59% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 19.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 80.68% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 7.94% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 92.05% (+0.01)

Belgrano Goals

Over 0.5 67.14% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 32.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 30.57% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.43% (-0.01)

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5 68.33% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 31.66% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.92% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 68.08% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Belgrano 34.76%
Draw 28.63%
Athletico Paranaense 36.59%
Belgrano
1-0 @ 11.58% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 7.41% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.44% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75%
3-0 @ 2.39% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 34.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.31%
0-0 @ 10.4% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.63%
Athletico Paranaense
0-1 @ 11.96%
1-2 @ 7.66% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.88% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 36.59%

Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
Aug 15, 2024 11.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Arena de Baixada
  • Thiago Heleno 27' yellowcard
  • Agustin Canobbio 30' yellowcard
  • Erick 41' goal
  • Christian 63' goal
  • Matias Moreno 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juan Cruz Real 0'
  • goal Franco Jara 1'
  • yellowcard Juan Barinaga 30'
  • yellowcard Facundo Quignon 36'
  • yellowcard Ignacio Chicco 61'
  • yellowcard Fernandinho 86'