Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 36.6%. A win for Belgrano had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Belgrano win was 1-0 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletico Paranaense would win this match.