Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg

Aug 30, 2024 at 12am UK

Estadio Nivaldo Pereira

Vasco
2 - 1
Athletico PR

Luis Rodriguez (80', 80'), Moura (90+3', 90+3')
Vegetti (30'), Vegetti (30'), Victor (35'), Victor (35')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Christian (32', 32')
Pontes Moreira (25'), Pontes Moreira (25'), Heleno (36'), Heleno (36'), Christian (39'), Christian (39'), Canobbio (51'), Canobbio (51')
Di Yorio (90+7'), Di Yorio (90+7')

Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Quarter-Finals clash between Vasco da Gama and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vasco da Gama

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Athletico Paranaense

All competitions

Copa do Brasil

Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 40.84%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.

Result
Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
40.84% ( -0.02)	26.79% ( -0)	32.37% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 50.95% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.96% (

0.03)

54.04% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.53% (

0.03)

75.48% (

-0.02)

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.97% (

0.01)

26.03% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.93% (

0.01)

61.07% (

Athletico Paranaense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.88% (

0.04)

31.12% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.56% (

0.04)

67.44% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Vasco da Gama 40.84%

Athletico Paranaense 32.37%

Draw 26.78%

Vasco da Gama	Draw	Athletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.84% 3-0 @ 3.29% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 40.84%	1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.78%	0-1 @ 9.46% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 32.37%