Fortaleza
Brasileiro | Gameweek 27
Sep 22, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Comendador Agostinho Prada
Bahia

Fortaleza
4 - 1
Bahia

Marinho (28', 28', 37', 37'), Pochettino (80', 80'), Kayzer (89', 89')
Rossetto (18'), Rossetto (18'), Martin Lucero (41'), Martin Lucero (41')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Stum (30', 30')
Lucas (20'), Lucas (20')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Fortaleza and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fortaleza

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-2 Corinthians
Wednesday, September 18 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 24.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortaleza would win this match.

Result
FortalezaDrawBahia
48.83% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.42% (0.099 0.1)24.75% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 47.44% (-0.134 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.66% (-0.249 -0.25)56.34% (0.248 0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-0.202 -0.2)77.36% (0.202 0.2)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88% (-0.224 -0.22)23.12% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02% (-0.329 -0.33)56.98% (0.327 0.33)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)38.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.95% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)75.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fortaleza 48.83%
    Bahia 24.75%
    Draw 26.41%
FortalezaDrawBahia
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.034999999999998 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.45% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.14% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.7% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.63% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.83%
1-1 @ 12.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.41%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.08% (0.04 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.31% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 24.75%

Head to Head
Jun 14, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 8
Bahia
1-0
Fortaleza
Lucas (79')
Kanu (60'), Alexandre (70'), Felipe (88'), Yago (90+4'), de Pena (90+4'), Teixeira (90+6')

Pablo Vojvoda (45+1'), Pochettino (86')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bahia
2-0
Fortaleza
Kanu (22'), Ratao (90+6')
Candido (16'), Gustavo (35'), Yago (45'), Oliveira Souza (59'), Thaciano (62'), Fernandes (90')

Britez (44'), Sasha (45+4'), Pacheco (64'), Titi (90'), Ceni (90+3')
Jun 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
Fortaleza
0-0
Bahia
Zanocelo (81'), Titi (90+7')
Acevedo (54'), Cicinho (56'), Stum (65')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Fortaleza
2-1
Bahia
Pikachu (78' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 5, 2021 1am
Gameweek 19
Bahia
4-2
Fortaleza
Teixeira (37'), de Lucca (80'), Capixaba (85')
Titi (90+6')
> Preview