Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
We said: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia (Flamengo advance 2-0 on aggregate)
From a psychological standpoint, Flamengo have a decisive edge, advancing beyond this phase of the tournament many times, which is not the case for Bahia.
Even with all the injuries at Mengao, having the belief they currently boast can prove invaluable in their quest to lift another major trophy.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55% . A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59% .
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%) . The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result Flamengo Draw Bahia 63.55% ( 0.39) 20.86% ( -0.27) 15.59% ( -0.12)
Both teams to score 50.03% ( 0.6)
54.35% ( 0.95) 45.65% ( -0.95)
32.03% ( 0.89) 67.97% ( -0.89)
86.3% ( 0.42) 13.7% ( -0.42)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 59.07% ( 0.83) 40.93% ( -0.83)
57.97% ( 0.41) 42.03% ( -0.41)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 21.54% ( 0.36) 78.46% ( -0.36)
Flamengo 63.54%
Bahia 15.59%
Draw 20.86%
Flamengo Draw Bahia 1-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.78% Total : 63.54% 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.91% Total : 20.86% 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.59%
How you voted: Flamengo vs Bahia
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rhs 2.0
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