/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fflalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F14%2Fbahlog.png)
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
54'
-
Giorgian De Arrascaeta
54'
-
Bruno Henrique
88'
-
Bruno Henrique
88'
-
Gabriel Xavier
66'
-
Gabriel Xavier
66'
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Iago
87'
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Iago
87'
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Carlos de Pena
88'
Flamengo vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F26%2Fflamengo.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 63.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 15.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Flamengo in this match.
Result
Flamengo
63.55%
▲
(+0.40)
Draw
20.86%
▼
(-0.28)
Bahia
15.59%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
50.03%
▲
(+0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.35%
▲
(+0.95)
Under 2.5
45.65%
▼
(-0.95)
Over 3.5
32.03%
▲
(+0.90)
Under 3.5
67.97%
▼
(-0.90)
Over 4.5
16.1%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 4.5
83.91%
▼
(-0.64)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5
86.3%
▲
(+0.43)
Under 0.5
13.7%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
59.07%
▲
(+0.83)
Under 1.5
40.93%
▼
(-0.83)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5
57.97%
▲
(+0.42)
Under 0.5
42.03%
▼
(-0.42)
Over 1.5
21.54%
▲
(+0.36)
Under 1.5
78.46%
▼
(-0.36)
Score analysis
Flamengo
63.54%
Draw
20.86%
Bahia
15.59%
Flamengo
1-0
@
11.44%
▼
(-0.30)
2-0 @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 63.54%
2-0 @ 11.37% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.86% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.54% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 6.53% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 3.75% ▲ (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.11)
3-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.09)
5-0 @ 1.49% ▲ (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.41% ▲ (+0.07)
5-1 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 63.54%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.14)
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.86%
0-0 @ 5.76% ▼ (-0.24)
2-2 @ 4.27% ▲ (+0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 20.86%
Bahia
0-1
@
4.99%
▼
(-0.15)
1-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.59%
1-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.16% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 15.59%
Kanu
49'