Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova

Bahia
2 - 0
Vitoria

Ribeiro (15'), Luciano (90+7')
Alerrandro (49'), Alexandre (81'), Yago (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Esteves (45+3'), Kanu (49'), Carpini (53'), Santos de Alcantara (82'), Oliveira (87')
Carpini (54')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vitoria.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 1-0 Botafogo
Wednesday, August 7 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Vitoria

All competitions
Last Game: Vitoria 1-0 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 3 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 64.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawVitoria
64.58% (-1.145 -1.15)21.14% (0.637 0.64)14.27% (0.501 0.5)
Both teams to score 46% (-0.663 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.62% (-1.603 -1.6)49.37% (1.597 1.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.58% (-1.462 -1.46)71.42% (1.455 1.46)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.43% (-0.86499999999999 -0.86)14.57% (0.859 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.37% (-1.688 -1.69)42.63% (1.682 1.68)
Vitoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.84% (-0.232 -0.23)46.15% (0.226 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.15% (-0.182 -0.18)81.84% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 64.58%
    Vitoria 14.27%
    Draw 21.14%
BahiaDrawVitoria
1-0 @ 12.95% (0.44 0.44)
2-0 @ 12.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.01% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.19% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.86% (-0.233 -0.23)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.139 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.116 -0.12)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 64.58%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.276 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.72% (0.428 0.43)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 5.2% (0.3 0.3)
1-2 @ 3.87% (0.084 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.01% (0.103 0.1)
1-3 @ 1% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 14.27%

How you voted: Bahia vs Vitoria

Bahia
100%
Draw
0.0%
Vitoria
0.0%
10
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 3
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Matheuzinho (20'), Leonardo (57')
Naldi (23'), Matheuzinho (42'), Zeca (66')
Teixeira (69'), Stum (72')
Arias (48'), Cuesta (51'), de Pena (90+3')
Nov 11, 2018 7pm
Gameweek 33
Vitoria
2-2
Bahia
Ceara (8', 68')
Ceara (2'), Bruno (73'), Benitez (76')
Nilton (39'), Ramires (72')
Gregore (17'), Brumado (67'), Nilton (84'), Grolli (96')
Jul 22, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 14
Bahia
4-1
Vitoria
Rafael (16'), Vinicius (27'), Tiago (66'), Gilberto (67')
Rafael (2'), Fonseca (70'), Tiago (91')
Lucas (73')
Jeferson (2'), Bou (15'), Arouca (47'), Bryan (65'), Luan (74')
Bryan (75')
Jul 2, 2017 8pm
Vitoria
0-0
Bahia