Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Vitoria had a probability of 34.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.92%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Vitoria win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria in this match.

Result
Vitoria	Draw	Cuiaba
34.2% ( -0.77)	28.11% ( -0.31)	37.69% ( 1.07)

Both teams to score 47.34% (

0.82)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.24% (

1.05)

58.76% (

-1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.72% (

0.81)

79.28% (

-0.81)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

0.03)

32.29% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.21% (

0.04)

68.79% (

-0.04)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

1.18)

30.08% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79% (

1.4)

66.21% (

-1.4)

Score Analysis

Vitoria 34.19%

Cuiaba 37.68%

Draw 28.11%

Vitoria	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.44) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.19%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.18) 0-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.68%