Bragantino
Brasileiro | Gameweek 25
Sep 1, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Nabi Abi Chedid
Bahia

Bragantino
2 - 1
Bahia

Jadsom (17'), Mendes (64'), Neves (90+5')
Jhon (20'), Lincoln (29')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Luciano (72')
Thaciano (28'), Luciano (33'), Kanu (77')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Bahia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Criciuma 1-0 Bragantino
Wednesday, August 28 at 11.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 0-1 Flamengo
Thursday, August 29 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Bahia had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Bahia win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.

Result
BragantinoDrawBahia
44.41% (-0.203 -0.2)25.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)30.28% (0.153 0.15)
Both teams to score 54.8% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.33% (-0.158 -0.16)48.66% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.22% (-0.147 -0.15)70.78% (0.145 0.14)
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1% (-0.163 -0.16)21.89% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.85% (-0.246 -0.25)55.15% (0.245 0.25)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.83% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (0.030000000000001 0.03)65.91% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 44.41%
    Bahia 30.28%
    Draw 25.31%
BragantinoDrawBahia
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.016 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.53% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.82% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 44.41%
1-1 @ 12% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.53% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.9% (0.057 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.26% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.93% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 30.28%

Head to Head
May 12, 2024 10.30pm
Gameweek 6
Bahia
1-0
Bragantino
Thaciano (37')
Kanu (15'), Thaciano (53')

Evangelista (20'), Jadsom (60'), Mosquera (90+2')
Aug 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Bahia
4-0
Bragantino
Rezende (9'), Hugo (38'), Mingotti (60'), Oliveira Souza (84')
Kanu (13'), Rezende (55')

Silva (16'), Patrick (43'), Jadsom (45+2'), Hurtado (50'), Goncalves Martins (73')
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Bragantino
2-1
Bahia
Goncalves (54'), Sasha (70')
Stum (45')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
Gameweek 21
Bahia
1-1
Bragantino
Jun 6, 2021 1am
Gameweek 2
Bragantino
3-3
Bahia
Artur (22'), Candido (50'), Cuello (68')
Gilberto (16', 19'), Jonas (87')
Araujo (90+1')