Bahia
Brasileiro | Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
Atletico Mineiro

Bahia
3 - 0
Atletico Mineiro

Stum (51'), Ribeiro (58'), Rodriguez (90+2')
Kanu (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gomes (22'), Everson (82'), Deyverson (90+1')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Atletico Mineiro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Bahia
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
38.47% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)28.22% (0.064 0.06)33.31% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 46.91% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.76% (-0.227 -0.23)59.23% (0.223 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.35% (-0.175 -0.18)79.65% (0.17 0.17)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)29.84% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.08% (-0.205 -0.2)65.92% (0.20099999999999 0.2)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.86% (-0.097000000000008 -0.1)33.14% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.26% (-0.105 -0.1)69.74% (0.101 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 38.47%
    Atletico Mineiro 33.31%
    Draw 28.21%
BahiaDrawAtletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 38.47%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.92% (0.07 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.03% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.31%

Head to Head
Jun 2, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 7
Atletico Mineiro
1-1
Bahia
Hulk (62')
Arana (16'), Scarpa (77'), Pedrinho (84'), Battaglia (90+4'), Franco (90+5'), Everson (90+7')
Ademir (70')
Thaciano (45+1'), Xavier (61'), Teixeira (80'), Estupinan (90+7')
> Preview
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 38
Bahia
4-1
Atletico Mineiro
Oliveira Souza (11'), Luciano (45+7'), Thaciano (67'), Ademir (90+2')
Hugo (61'), Ademir (90+4')
Paulinho (36')
Rubens (58'), Paulinho (85')
Aug 13, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Atletico Mineiro
1-0
Bahia
Paulinho (49')
Otavio (44'), Pavon (44')

Teixeira (72')
Carlos (90+6')
Dec 2, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 32
Bahia
2-3
Atletico Mineiro
Otavio (62'), Gilberto (66')
Mugni (34'), Danielzinho (89')
Hulk (73' pen.), Keno (74', 77')
Arana (45'), Sasha (80'), Nathan (87')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico Mineiro
3-0
Bahia
Hulk (58', 80' pen.), Nathan (90+1')
Dodo (54'), Mariano (68')

Rossi (23')
> Preview