Brasileiro Gameweek 26
Sep 15, 2024 10.30pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Everaldo Stum 51' goal
  • Everton Ribeiro 58' goal
  • Kanu 80' yellowcard
  • Luciano Rodriguez 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Igor Gomes 22'
  • yellowcard Everson 82'
  • yellowcard Deyverson 90'+1'

Bahia vs Atletico Mineiro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 10.30pm
Bragantino 2 - 1 Bahia
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Everaldo Stum

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Last game
Sep 1, 2024 3.00pm
Gremio 2 - 3 Atletico Mineiro
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Paulinho

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result

Bahia 38.47% (-0.10)
Draw 28.22% (+0.07)
Atletico Mineiro 33.31% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.91% (-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.76% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 59.23% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 20.35% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 79.65% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 8.54% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 91.46% (+0.10)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 70.16% (-0.18)
Under 0.5 29.84% (+0.17)
Over 1.5 34.08% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 65.92% (+0.21)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 66.86% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.14% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 30.26% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 69.74% (+0.11)

Score analysis

Bahia 38.47%
Draw 28.21%
Atletico Mineiro 33.31%
Bahia
1-0 @ 11.95% (+0.04)
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 38.47%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.2% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 9.89% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 28.21%
Atletico Mineiro
0-1 @ 10.92% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 7.29% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.03% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.62% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.31%

Head to Head

Brasileiro Gameweek 7
Jun 2, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Arena MRV
  • Guilherme Arana 16' yellowcard
  • Hulk 62' goal
  • Gustavo Scarpa 77' yellowcard
  • Pedrinho 84' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Battaglia 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Alan Franco 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Everson 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thaciano 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Xavier 61'
  • goal Ademir 70'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 80'
  • yellowcard Oscar Estupinan 90'+7'
Brasileiro Gameweek 38
Dec 7, 2023 12.30am
4
1
HT : 4 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 11' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Luciano 45'+7' goal
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Vitor Hugo 61' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Thaciano 67' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+2' goal
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ademir 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • goal Paulinho 36'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Rubens 58'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 85'
Brasileiro Gameweek 19
Aug 13, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
  • Otavio 44' yellowcard
  • Cristian Pavon 44' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gabriel Teixeira 72'
  • redcard Ryan Carlos 90'+6'
Brasileiro Gameweek 32
Dec 2, 2021 9.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lucas Mugni 34' yellowcard
  • Luiz Otavio 62' goal
  • Gilberto 66' goal
  • Danielzinho 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Arana 45'
  • goal Hulk 73'
  • goal Keno 74'
  • goal Keno 77'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Sasha 80'
  • yellowcard Nathan 87'
Brasileiro Gameweek 13
Jul 25, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Dodo 54' yellowcard
  • Hulk 58' goal
  • Mariano 68' yellowcard
  • Hulk 80' goal
  • Nathan 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Rossi 23'
Brasileiro Gameweek 36
Feb 13, 2021 10.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Eduardo Sasha 20' goal
  • Savio 88' yellowcard
  • goal Rossi 47'
  • yellowcard Ronaldo 90'+4'