Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.65%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Criciuma had a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Criciuma win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
22.93% ( -1.07)	25.41% ( 0.09)	51.65% ( 0.99)

Both teams to score 48.44% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-1.27)

54.08% (

1.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-1.07)

75.51% (

1.07)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.29% (

-1.71)

38.71% (

1.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.55% (

-1.66)

75.45% (

1.66)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.04% (

-0.1)

20.96% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.29% (

-0.16)

53.71% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 22.93%

Atletico Mineiro 51.64%

Draw 25.41%

Criciuma	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.27) 2-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.11) Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.93%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.81% Total : 25.41%	0-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.16% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 51.64%