Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for CRB had a probability of 31.07% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest CRB win was 1-0 (10.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.