Copa do Brasil | Third Round | 1st Leg

May 24, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Governador Placido Aderaldo Castelo

Ceara
0 - 1
CRB

Bahia (11'), Bahia (11'), Eduardo Recalde (45+1'), Eduardo Recalde (45+1'), de Lucca (59'), de Lucca (59'), Castilho (78'), Castilho (78')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Gege (26', 26')
Ramon (23'), Ramon (23'), Labandeira (71'), Labandeira (71'), Pedro Mendes Santos (80'), Pedro Mendes Santos (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Ceara and CRB, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ceara

Last Game: Ceara 4-1 Juventude
Sunday, November 13 at 7pm in Brasileiro

CRB

Last Game: CRB 1-0 Juventude
Tuesday, September 22 at 11pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for CRB had a probability of 20.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Ceara	Draw	CRB
54.89% ( 0.02)	24.2% ( -0.07)	20.91% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.43% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

0.33)

51.46% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73% (

0.29)

73.27% (

-0.28)

Ceara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.36% (

0.13)

18.64% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.04% (

0.22)

49.96% (

-0.22)

CRB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.75% (

0.24)

39.25% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.04% (

0.23)

75.95% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Ceara 54.88%

CRB 20.91%

Draw 24.19%

Ceara	Draw	CRB
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.16% Total : 54.88%	1-1 @ 11.49% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.87% Total : 24.19%	0-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.2% 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.41% Total : 20.91%