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Ceara
Brasileiro | Gameweek 38
Nov 13, 2022 at 7pm UK
Castelao

Ceara
4 - 1
Juventude

Cleber (23', 45+2'), Sobral (70'), Erick (88' pen.)
Richardson (27'), Victor (28'), Cleber (57'), Erick (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Parede (52')
Para (25'), Parede (75'), Moraes (76'), Ramires (88')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Ceara and Juventude.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Avai 2-0 Ceara
Wednesday, November 9 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Juventude 2-2 Flamengo
Thursday, November 10 at 12.30am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ceara win with a probability of 67.36%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 13.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ceara win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Juventude win it was 1-2 (3.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ceara would win this match.

Result
CearaDrawJuventude
67.36% (-0.26899999999999 -0.27) 18.71% (0.023 0.02) 13.92% (0.246 0.25)
Both teams to score 53.11% (0.623 0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.57% (0.467 0.47)39.43% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (0.486 0.49)61.77% (-0.487 -0.49)
Ceara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.22% (0.060999999999993 0.06)10.78% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.2% (0.137 0.14)34.8% (-0.137 -0.14)
Juventude Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.53% (0.657 0.66)40.47% (-0.658 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.92% (0.588 0.59)77.08% (-0.58800000000001 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Ceara 67.36%
    Juventude 13.92%
    Draw 18.71%
CearaDrawJuventude
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.72% (-0.189 -0.19)
3-0 @ 8.04% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 4.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 4.05% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.071 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 67.36%
1-1 @ 8.79% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.084 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.36% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.71%
1-2 @ 3.98% (0.066 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.34% (0.049 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.2% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 13.92%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 8pm
Juventude
1-0
Ceara
Pitta (66')
Gabriel (78')

Richard (29'), Vasquez (77'), Otavio (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 9pm
Jul 4, 2021 10.15pm
Ceara
2-0
Juventude
Saulo (48'), Lacerda (53')
Jael (76'), Buiu (77')

Castilho (64'), Pacheco (80')
Castilho (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo382310559293079
2PalmeirasPalmeiras38227960332773
3FlamengoFlamengo382010861421970
4FortalezaFortaleza381911853391468
5InternacionalInternacional381811953361765
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10Vasco da GamaVasco38148164356-1350
11Vitoria38138174552-747
12Atletico Mineiro381114134754-747
13Fluminense381210163339-646
14Gremio38129174450-645
15JuventudeJuventude381112154859-1145
16BragantinoBragantino381014144448-444
17Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR38119184046-642
18CriciumaCriciuma38911184261-1938
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3879222958-2930
20Cuiaba38612202949-2030


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