Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg

Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio da Madeira

Atletico Mineiro
1 - 0
San Lorenzo

(Atletico Mineiro win 2-1 on aggregate)

Battaglia (65', 65')
Otavio (48'), Otavio (48'), Franco (74'), Franco (74'), Scarpa (89'), Scarpa (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jesus Baez Sotelo (34'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (34'), Tripichio (37'), Tripichio (37'), Campi (71'), Campi (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Mineiro and San Lorenzo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-1 Cuiaba
Saturday, August 17 at 8pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.83%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 15.56%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.11%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atletico Mineiro in this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	San Lorenzo
59.83% ( -0.05)	24.61% ( 0.01)	15.56% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 39.57% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.25% (

0.04)

59.75% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.95% (

0.03)

80.04% (

-0.03)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.07% (

-0)

19.93% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.92% (

-0.01)

52.07% (

0.01)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.42% (

0.09)

50.58% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.94% (

0.06)

85.06% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 59.82%

San Lorenzo 15.56%

Draw 24.61%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	San Lorenzo
1-0 @ 16.25% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 59.82%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.56%