Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Aug 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Estadio Pedro Bidegain

San Lorenzo
1 - 1
Atletico Mineiro

(Atletico Mineiro win 2-1 on aggregate)

Cuello (17', 17')
Cuello (18'), Cuello (18'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (56'), de Jesus Baez Sotelo (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Paulinho (58', 58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between San Lorenzo and Atletico Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Lorenzo

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: San Lorenzo 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, August 10 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Goals
for

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Copa Libertadores

Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, August 11 at 1.30am in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 42.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 28.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.63%) and 1-2 (7.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a San Lorenzo win it was 1-0 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
San Lorenzo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
28.19% ( 0.95)	29.64% ( 0.18)	42.17% ( -1.13)

Both teams to score 41.44% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.85% (

-0.19)

65.16% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16% (

-0.13)

84% (

0.13)

San Lorenzo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.75% (

0.7)

40.25% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.12% (

0.63)

76.88% (

-0.62)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.36% (

-0.73)

30.64% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.12% (

-0.87)

66.88% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

San Lorenzo 28.19%

Atletico Mineiro 42.16%

Draw 29.63%

San Lorenzo	Draw	Atletico Mineiro
1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 28.19%	1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.46% Total : 29.63%	0-1 @ 14.58% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.27% Total : 42.16%