Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for CRB had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	CRB
64.93% ( 1.07)	20.9% ( -0.27)	14.17% ( -0.8)

Both teams to score 46.49% (

-1.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.42% (

-0.43)

48.58% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.3% (

-0.39)

70.7% (

0.39)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.79% (

0.19)

14.21% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.07% (

0.38)

41.93% (

-0.38)

CRB Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.19% (

-1.41)

45.81% (

1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.42% (

-1.12)

81.57% (

1.11)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 64.92%

CRB 14.17%

Draw 20.9%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	CRB
1-0 @ 12.7% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 12.39% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 6.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.41% Total : 64.92%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.7% Total : 20.9%	0-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.25% Total : 14.17%