Copa do Brasil
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-
Gabriel Milito
0'
-
Guilherme Arana
17'
-
Renzo Saravia
25'
-
Lucas de Oliveira Teodoro Falcao
63'
-
Fabio Henrique Souza Santana
30'
-
Matheus Albino Carneiro
83'
Atletico Mineiro vs CRB - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for CRB had a probability of 14.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a CRB win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.
Result
Atletico Mineiro
64.93%
▲
(+1.07)
Draw
20.9%
▼
(-0.28)
CRB
14.17%
▼
(-0.80)
Both Teams to Score:
46.49%
▼
(-1.10)
Goals
Over 2.5
51.42%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 2.5
48.58%
▲
(+0.43)
Over 3.5
29.3%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 3.5
70.7%
▲
(+0.39)
Over 4.5
14.19%
▼
(-0.27)
Under 4.5
85.81%
▲
(+0.27)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5
85.79%
▲
(+0.20)
Under 0.5
14.21%
▼
(-0.20)
Over 1.5
58.07%
▲
(+0.38)
Under 1.5
41.93%
▼
(-0.39)
CRB Goals
Over 0.5
54.19%
▼
(-1.41)
Under 0.5
45.81%
▲
(+1.41)
Over 1.5
18.42%
▼
(-1.12)
Under 1.5
81.57%
▲
(+1.12)
Score analysis
Atletico Mineiro
64.92%
Draw
20.9%
CRB
14.17%
Atletico Mineiro
1-0
@
12.7%
▲
(+0.31)
2-0 @ 12.39% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 64.92%
2-0 @ 12.39% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 9.67% ▼ (-0.08)
3-0 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.31)
3-1 @ 6.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.18)
4-1 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46% ▼ (-0.11)
5-0 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.08)
4-2 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 64.92%
Draw
1-1
@
9.91%
▼
(-0.15)
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.9%
0-0 @ 6.51% ▲ (+0.12)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.9%
CRB
0-1
@
5.08%
▼
(-0.12)
1-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 14.17%
1-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 1.98% ▼ (-0.13)
1-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 14.17%
Head to Head
Copa do Brasil
-
Willian Prado Camargo
6'
-
Leo Pereira
7'
-
Caio Cesar
27'
-
Willian Prado Camargo
55'
-
Lyanco
24'
-
Paulinho
41'
-
Gustavo Scarpa
54'
-
Gustavo Scarpa
56'