Atletico Mineiro
Copa do Brasil | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 13, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Arena MRV
Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 0
Sao Paulo


Alonso (20'), Alonso (20'), Saravia (64'), Saravia (64'), Rafinha (77'), Lyanco (77'), Franco (84'), Franco (84'), Rubens (90+2'), Rubens (90+2')
FT

Gustavo (43'), Gustavo (43'), Rato (54'), Rato (54'), Luciano (60'), Luciano (60'), Rafinha (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa do Brasil clash between Atletico Mineiro and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Gremio 2-3 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 1 at 3pm in Brasileiro

Sao Paulo

All competitions
Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
43.54% (0.485 0.48)28.16% (0.356 0.36)28.3% (-0.846 -0.85)
Both teams to score 45.27% (-1.412 -1.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.58% (-1.566 -1.57)60.42% (1.562 1.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.44% (-1.2 -1.2)80.55% (1.196 1.2)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.48 -0.48)27.56% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.621 -0.62)63.08% (0.618 0.62)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.49% (-1.527 -1.53)37.51% (1.524 1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.71% (-1.527 -1.53)74.29% (1.524 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 43.53%
    Sao Paulo 28.29%
    Draw 28.15%
Atletico MineiroDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.59 0.59)
2-0 @ 8.58% (0.271 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.69% (0.068 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.19% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 10.33% (0.584 0.58)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.215 -0.22)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.15%
0-1 @ 10.13% (0.168 0.17)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.244 -0.24)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.121 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.131 -0.13)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 28.29%

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Sao Paulo

Atletico Mineiro
68.4%
Draw
21.1%
Sao Paulo
10.5%
38
Head to Head
Aug 29, 2024 1.30am
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Sao Paulo
0-1
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (61'), Arboleda (90+6')
Battaglia (90+2')
Alonso (46'), Otavio (63'), Gomes (77'), Saravia (81')
Jul 12, 2024 1.30am
Gameweek 16
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Vargas (13'), Paulinho (45+3')
Battaglia (9'), Hulk (44')
Moura (18')
Zubeldia (16'), Hulk (83')
Franco (59')
> Preview
Dec 3, 2023 12am
Gameweek 37
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Sao Paulo
Hulk (77'), Paulinho (90+4')
Arana (65'), Hulk (78'), Mendes (89'), Paulinho (90+5')
Luciano (90+1' pen.)
Araujo (46')
Aug 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Sao Paulo
0-2
Atletico Mineiro

Rafinha (8'), Nestor (45+2'), Diego (62'), David (72'), Maia (80'), Beraldo (90+5')
Hulk (4'), Pavon (69' pen.)
Jemerson (1'), Battaglia (60'), Saravia (62'), Pavon (70'), Mendes (90+1')
Nov 2, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 35
Sao Paulo
2-2
Atletico Mineiro
Calleri (40', 45+5')
Vargas (25' pen., 81')
rhs 2.0


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