Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.